Through three weeks of the 2021 season, the G5 Guru Panel has picked the winner correctly on 84% of games, has picked the cover correctly on 59% of games, and is at 51% on over-under. Week 4 isn’t going to be an easy one as there are many highly competitive games on tap. So, let’s dive in.
In P5 versus G5 action, the Guru Panel sees TCU winning over a game SMU squad and covering the 10-point spread. The panel believes Syracuse will avenge their loss to Liberty in a high-scoring affair. The panel sees Indiana inching by Western Kentucky as our respect continues to grow for Bailey Zappe and the Hilltoppers. We see Maryland handling Kent at home and covering the spread.
In some of the marquee G5 non-conference matchups, the panel believes App State will handle Marshall and cover the spread in a lower scoring game. The panel sees Tulane topping UAB and covering the spread and Tulsa handling Arkansas State and staying below the 63-point line. We see Air Force topping Florida Atlantic and covering the 5.5-point spread. The panel sees San Jose State in a mild upset over Western Michigan in a game will be played under the total line. Finally, we believe Memphis will win and cover the 3-point line over UT San Antonio.
In conference action, we believe visiting Boise State will rebound from their close loss to Oklahoma State to beat and cover against Utah State. We see Fresno State winning handily against UNLV, but not covering the 30.5-point spread. In the CUSA the Gurus see Charlotte winning and covering against MTSU and Louisiana Tech taking out some frustrations on North Texas by winning and covering the 12-point spread. In the Sunbelt we believe Louisiana will easily handle Georgia Southern on the road, covering the 14-point spread. We don’t see ULM extending their one game winning streak as Troy should win, but ULM should cover the 23.5-point spread. We believe Houston will top Navy, but the Midshipmen will keep it closer than the 20-point spread. And finally, the Gurus see Ball State getting a tight win in a mild upset of Toledo.
All of our picks for Week 4 are provided below.
| Group of Five Games | G5 Gurus Picks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Visitor | Line | Ovr/Und | Pick | Cover | Ovd/Und | |
| Appalachian State | Marshall | -7 | 58.5 |  Appalachian
State |  Yes | Under | |
| Charlotte | Middle Tennessee State | -3 | 56 | Charlotte | Yes | Under | |
| Syracuse | Liberty | 6 | 53 | Syracuse | No | Over | |
| Tulane | Alabama-Birmingham | -4 | 57 | Tulane | Yes | Over | |
| Tulsa | Arkansas State | -13.5 | 63 | Tulsa | Yes | Under | |
| Utah State | Boise State | 9 | 65.5 | Boise State | Yes | Over | |
| Old Dominion | Buffalo | 13.5 | 53.5 | Buffalo | Yes | Under | |
| Air Force | Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 52 | Air Force | Yes | Over | |
| Central Michigan | Florida International | -10 | 56.5 | Central Michigan | Yes | Under | |
| New Mexico State | Hawaii | 17 | 58.5 | Hawaii | No | Under | |
| Georgia Southern | Louisiana | 14 | 54 | Louisiana | Yes | Over | |
| Coastal Carolina | Massachusetts | -36 | 66.5 | Coastal Carolina | No | Under | |
| Army | Miami (OH) | -8.5 | 50.5 | Army | Yes | Over | |
| Houston | Navy | -20 | 48 | Houston | No | Under | |
| Fresno State | Nevada-Las Vegas | -30.5 | 58.5 | Fresno State | No | Over | |
| Texas-El Paso | New Mexico | -1.5 | 54 | Texas-El Paso | No | Under | |
| Louisiana Tech | North Texas | -12 | 65 | Louisiana Tech | Yes | Under | |
| Western Michigan | San Jose State | -3 | 63 | San Jose State | Yes | Under | |
| Brigham Young | South Florida | -23 | 53 | Brigham Young | Yes | Over | |
| Eastern Michigan | Texas State | -6.5 | 61.5 | Eastern Michigan | Yes | Under | |
| Memphis | Texas-San Antonio | -3 | 65 | Memphis | Yes | Under | |
| Ball State | Toledo | 5 | 56.5 | Ball State | Yes | Over | |
| Louisiana-Monroe | Troy | 23.5 | 50 | Troy | No | Over | |
| Connecticut | Wyoming | 29 | 55 | Wyoming | No | Over | |
| Ohio State | Akron | -49 | 67.5 | Ohio State | No | Under | |
| Minnesota | Bowling Green State | -31 | 51.5 | Minnesota | No | Over | |
| East Carolina | Charleston Southern | East Carolina | |||||
| Iowa | Colorado State | -23 | 44.5 | Iowa | Yes | Over | |
| Auburn | Georgia State | -27 | 57 | Auburn | Yes | Over | |
| Western Kentucky | Indiana | 9 | 63 | Indiana | No | Under | |
| Maryland | Kent State | -14.5 | 67.5 | Maryland | Yes | Under | |
| Northern Illinois | Maine | Northern Illinois | |||||
| Northwestern | Ohio | -15 | 48 | Northwestern | Yes | Over | |
| Texas Christian | Southern Methodist | -10 | 64 | Texas Christian | Yes | Under | |
| Alabama | Southern Mississippi | -45 | 57.5 | Alabama | No | Under | |
| Rice | Texas Southern | Rice | |||||
| San Diego State | Towson | San Diego State | |||||
| Temple | Wagner | Temple | |||||