Week 12 saw the G5 Guru Panel get back to some of its winning ways. The Panel hit on 82% of winners, 61% of covers, and 52% of over/unders. Heading into the last full week of the regular season the panel is at 77% on winners, 55% on covers, and 50% of over/unders.
Week 13 begins on Tuesday night with 2 MACtion games on tap. We see Ball State holding off Buffalo in a low scoring game to get the Cardinals needing bowl eligible. In the second matchup, the panel believes Western Michigan will knock off the MAC West champion Northern Illinois and cover the surprising 3.5 point spread favoring the Broncos.
In Thursday’s night MWC matchup the panel sees the Fresno State Bulldogs winning and covering against San Jose State in a lower scoring affair.
Black Friday sees a slate of 10 G5 games. In MWC action, the panel believes Boise State will knock off 10-1 San Diego State and cover the 2.5 point spread favoring the Broncos. In the second Friday MWC game we see Utah State winning and covering against the New Mexico Lobos. In the third MWC game on Friday we believe Air Force wins but fails to cover the 18 point spread against UNLV in a low-scoring matchup.
In an intriguing Friday AAC game, the panel believes Cincinnati beats East Carolina to maintain their #4 spot in the CFP. We were split but believe Cincinnati will cover the 14 point spread in a higher scoring game. In a game to decide the MAC Michigan Trophy, the panel believes Central Michigan wins a tight one over Eastern Michigan, but not covering the 8 point spread.
In the “Rivalry Deeper than Hate”, the panel believes Appalachian State will handle Georgia Southern but will struggle to cover the 24.5 point spread. In “Battle of the Bayou”, Louisiana hosts Louisiana Monroe. We see the Cajuns rolling in this one, covering the 21.5 point spread in a higher scoring affair.
In what Ryan McGee has called the “pillow fight of the year”, we believe New Mexico State wins and covers against UMass. Or to put it in Ryan’s words, “Whew Mexico State tops UMess”.
In a game to decide the Conference USA East title, Marshall hosts the streaking Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The panel was split on this game but decided to go with the upset, picking the Herd to stop the Hilltopper’s streak and return to the CUSA Championship.
In another game that the panel debated heavily, the panel is going with Liberty to win and cover against Army. And finally, in another game that saw a good deal of dissent among panel members, we are going with Southern California to upset BYU in Los Angeles.
All of our picks for Week 13 are provided below.
|Group of Five Games||G5 Gurus Picks|
|Ball State||Buffalo||-6.5||58.5||Ball State||Yes||Under|
|Northern Illinois||Western Michigan||3.5||62.5||Western Michigan||Yes||Under|
|San Jose State||Fresno State||7||52.5||Fresno State||Yes||Under|
|San Diego State||Boise State||2.5||44||Boise State||Yes||Over|
|South Alabama||Coastal Carolina||14.5||57||Coastal Carolina||Yes||Under|
|Central Michigan||Eastern Michigan||-8||64||Central Michigan||No||Under|
|Air Force||Nevada-Las Vegas||-18||49||Air Force||No||Under|
|Bowling Green State||Ohio||5||48.5||Ohio||Yes||Under|
|Central Florida||South Florida||-18.5||62||Central Florida||No||Over|
|Southern Methodist||Tulsa||-6.5||62||Southern Methodist||Yes||Over|
|New Mexico||Utah State||15.5||50||Utah State||Yes||Over|
|Old Dominion||Charlotte||-10||56||Old Dominion||No||Under|
|Southern Mississippi||Florida International||-10||45.5||Southern Mississippi||Yes||Under|
|Appalachian State||Georgia Southern||-24.5||55.5||Appalachian State||No||Over|
|Rice||Louisiana Tech||3.5||53.5||Louisiana Tech||No||Under|
|New Mexico State||Massachusetts||-6||59||New Mexico State||Yes||Under|
|Kent State||Miami (OH)||0||64.5||Kent State||Under|
|Florida Atlantic||Middle Tennessee State||-4||50||Florida Atlantic||Yes||Over|
|Arkansas State||Texas State||-2||61.5||Arkansas State||Yes||Under|
|North Texas||Texas-San Antonio||12||59.5||Texas-San Antonio||Yes||Under|
|Georgia State||Troy||-6.5||49.5||Georgia State||Yes||Over|
|Southern California||Brigham Young||7||64||Southern California||No||Over|